What a great thread topic.
Overanalysis Alert!
I'm an expansion franchise and I have these 2 picks. Here are the factors I'm weighing heavily.
-Age I desire at least 8-10 years of high-level production.
-Citizenship Community involvement, maturity, mentorship, on/off-field leadership, stay out of the police blotter, honor your contract.
-Impact Position This narrows it down to QB, RB, or DT for me. I can have 5 slightly above average O-Lineman who jell and still have a top-10 line. Check out the Colts, Giants and Patriots over the past few years. If it's not a QB, I want to run, and stuff the run. (Sorry, that's the philosophy I was raised on)
After considering those factors, and considering all the aforementioned great picks, I'll take:
Offense: Matt Ryan, Falcons by a nose over Adrian Peterson, Vikings.
Defense: Haloti Ngata, Ravens by a nose over Aaron Curry, Seahawks.
I get Ryan all through his prime instead of Brady or Manning at their peak. I'll maintain that based on my criteria, Ngata anchors my defense without making waves for a decade. I'll have to take a RB with my 3rd pick, I guess, but I'll still get a good one. I'm a huge Willis fan, but I was high on Curry entering the draft and he'll supplant Willis as the game's top young sideline-to-sideline MLB very soon.