the best stat is 1ST 11 GAMES. I saw the stats showing nobody has had quite as good a first 11 games. did you happen to notice anything bout the guys on the list? NONE OF THEM WERE GOOD NFL QUARTERBACKS. if youre comparing tebow to rodgers, i know why none of this is sinking in. for some reason the blinders have come on and no amount of rational argument can change your mind. you watch these games and must be fooling yourself. rodgers put up what 46 pts on the raiders yesterday? TEBOW BEAT THEM 16 13. not even a contest. in an era with soooo many good quarterbacks, why try and make one out to be that clearly isnt? I honestly dont believe you are comparing to rodgers or elway, but youre proving that the tebowites are extremely misguided in having done so, so thank you for that. You can watch aaron rodgers, peyton manning, tom brady, ben rapist, eli manning, hell stafford made the broncos look stupid. IF youre correct about the completion % through 11 games, (is this starts? games? 1st year? 2nd?) then guess what, elway didnt start off too well either. he worked and became good, and eventually great. so i already said who knows maybe tebow WILL BE good at some point. Maybe he will be great (that's a stretch and a half) but HE ISNT NOW. The best part is, you act like my hatred for tebow is what drives these arguments... i dont have any particular feeling about tebow. in fact, as stated, i can think of alotta guys i hate a lot more than tebow. but i can tell you that they are good, and in some cases great quarterbacks. what bothers me is the apparent complete disregard for cogent thought and the inability to recognize what you are seeing. if you like the guy - you should be celebrating that he and the broncos have been doing so well when they are apparently not very good. a magical season thusfar sure - but youre letting yourself get caught up in what essentially is a statistical aberration.
"Twenty-two quarterbacks started their career with a 10-start stretch that saw their team get outscored by a total between two and 42 points, or within a 20-point margin of Tebow's Broncos. In their next 10 starts, they went a combined 93-105 (46.9 percent). In fact, it's hard to win games consistently, period. Thirteen quarterbacks over the time frame started their careers 7-3, like Tebow did, regardless of what their point differential was. In their next 10 games, they went a combined 63-67 (48.4 percent). So, in other words, the fact that Tebow's started his career winning seven of his first 10 starts shouldn't tell us very much about what he's likely to do going forward, but the fact that he's done so while being outscored isn't exactly a great sign."
"Again, there are not many players to compare Tebow to. Only two players since 1990 have gone 6-1 or better in close games amidst their first 10 starts at quarterback: Delhomme (like Tebow, 6-1) and Chad Henne (6-0!). In their next 10 starts, Delhomme and Henne were 6-6 in games decided by a touchdown or less. That jibes with our research that a team's record in those close games from year to year is basically random and will revolve around the mean (a .500 record)."
"Winning close games to start your career is fun and profitable, but it doesn't indicate anything about your ability to do so going forward. Gus Johnson's awareness of this rule is one of the reasons he stopped doing NFL games after an incredible 2010 season"
"Tebow is better than career interception rate leader Aaron Rodgers, who's going to win this year's MVP. Has anybody played like that during his NFL infancy? Well, a few players have. If you hate Tim Tebow, you might want to turn away right now, because a bunch of those players turned out to be really great quarterbacks. Six players had interception rates better than Tebow's during their first 10 starts: David Garrard (0.7 percent), Michael Vick (0.8 percent), Damon Huard (1.1 percent, although he finished his first 10 starts eight years after being drafted), Chad Pennington (1.4 percent), Mark Brunell (1.6 percent), and Philip Rivers (1.7 percent)." wheres garrard? pennington? huard? brunell? now?
"The bad news for Tebow is that a player's completion percentage — unlike his interception rate — tends to stay pretty consistent as he gets more NFL experience. A player's completion percentage during his first 10 starts explains about 25 percent of the variance between the completion percentages of quarterbacks in their next 10 starts. Of those quarterbacks, the only ones to really ever gain some level of accuracy to justify a pro career are Bledsoe, Collins, and Manning, each of whom had significantly better credentials as a pro-style pocket passer coming out of school than Tebow. Players as inaccurate as Tebow wash out of the league at an extraordinarily fast rate."