If someone says Charles is the #1 fantasy RB and Charles gets hurt, that person isn't necessarily wrong, because we weren't able to see the players season play out.
I disagree (respectfully).
If someone says Charles is the #1 RB and he gets hurt, then that person is DEAD wrong. Woulda, coulda, shoulda.
By your logic, I could claim Rashard Mendenhal the #1 RB but his offensive line suffered injuries so I am still not wrong.
The proof is in the pudding and anyone that claimed that Andre Brown would be better than David Wilson is WRONG (at this point, anyway). If Wilson is lost for the season in game 1 and Brown comes back after 8 weeks then obviously Brown will end up being the better back and the person choosing Brown will be RIGHT.
Sad to say, but fantasy football is predicated by injury. Your well planned draft picks are only as good as their ability to stay on the field. Your ADPs are subjective, at best. Guys like Elf are laughable because no matter how football savvy he is, he can't predict an injury, though the ability to get early information and pounce the waiver wire is paramount so elf will still be axceptional.
Come play-off time we will be starting guys like Ryan Torain and Marcel Reece and all the ADP cow dung will have been flushed down the toilet.
The draft, the rankings, the expert opinions, are all mental masturbation. The guys who watch and listen and feel the pulse of the game are the guys who are gonna win your fantasy league.
I ain't got that much time.