The T.O. Effect On WR Lee Evans

[Coachnorm]

While it is being said that Lee Evans will see/have less pressure on him this year how does this really work out? Evans has always been a great talent that most drafters hope will explode each year. Then he doesn't explode and we all are a little disappointed because of these expectations despite the fact that Evans puts up decent numbers every year.

Buffalo QBs have all preformed in the less than 20 TD category recently which is sort of a benchmark for most of Us QB wise. Actually, if you look they have performed in the less than 15 TDs bracket for a couple of years. Now comes TO and the QB production should shatter the 15 TD barrier and flirt with the 20 TD range.

What does that really mean for Lee Evans? A bigger passing pie for sure but TO will gobble up a lions share of that bigger passing pie. But Evans should see less pressure, less double teams and a lesser quality of defender on every play. So can we expect a huge jump in numbers? Probably not, Maybe some more red zone opportunities. The main problem with the Lee Evans fantasy factor has been the big game, small game effect. He had 1,000 yards last year with 5 games with less than 25 yards.
This year he will probably perform like a Fantasy WR with new shocks. He will perform on about the same level but the ride won't be as bumpy.

Your thoughts?

 

[Sgt John]

Its interesting to see how this shakes out in camp. What Buffalo has that has been lacking IMO is consistency at the QB position and upgrades on the skill front. This has always been an offense to me that resembled a castle made from a pile of left over legos.

Getting rid of Robert Royal eliminated a big issue, and the TO/Evans tandem is far superior to whats been trotted out the last few years. This team also has a guy at RB who has been to and won the Super Bowl in Dominic Rhodes.

The QB position is settled. I think you factor all this in and Evans may end up being in the 75 catch 1000 yard 8 TD area. I also think he will be a more consistent performer with someone else hogging all the attention. Evans still isnt a guy who should be taken above the 6th or 7th round, but you will get value out of the pick.

 

[storminn0rm]

The QB position is settled. I think you factor all this in and Evans may end up being in the 75 catch 1000 yard 8 TD area. I also think he will be a more consistent performer with someone else hogging all the attention. Evans still isnt a guy who should be taken above the 6th or 7th round, but you will get value out of the pick.

That is what I was thinking. Adding TO will take coverage off of Evans and also take the spotlight off of him. This should make him more consistant. Maybe he will move into a Wes Welker role.

 

[Phicinfan]

Lee Evans is the next Roy Williams or any other wr that goes with T.O. He WANTS the ball, and does NOT want to share the ball. I am actually higher on the rookie TE Nelson in Buf than I am Evans...and Nelson could be the hot read for blitzes.

 

[tblGoBlue]

All I know is that I hope it's a good EFFECT... I drafted Evans as #2 WR in my dynasty league before the TO trade happened.

 

[Sgt John]

I think its going to work out just fine. TO is going to have to deal with having a true #2 WR, something he didnt have in Dallas IMO

 

[Miller]

I don't see Evans as a "welker" type, he's not that type of WR, he's all vertical. Which makes an interesting combo with TO who is a vert threat as well, and TO wants to get the vert attempts. So Evens may actually lose some attempts in his biggest strength area.

I think Evens will be pretty incosnstent again this year. For his value only, he's be better paired with someone like TJ Housh who can work the possession game and let him get deep.

 

[Cooley Cadets]

Evans will see a bump on the # of receptions and maintain a high 15.? to low 16.? yards per reception.

TO can expect triple digit receptions but it will be a more balanced attack. Nelson will have an impact but he is not the 2nd coming of Witten and would be doing well to finish #4 on the team in receptions but 6th is probably more likely.

 

[Doggface Gremlin]

Lee Evans will have a huge 2009 imo. Having Terrell Owens next to him will be just what he needs to really take the next step.

 

[efactor]

Lee Evans will have a huge 2009 imo. Having Terrell Owens next to him will be just what he needs to really take the next step.

I hope you're right. Guy is an excellent receiver and seems motivated to excel. Frustrating to see him completely disappear at times. Not his fault, just poor game planning and execution by the Bills offense. However, not much of a consulation to us fantasy players. Maybe having Owens will open things up for him in 09. Will be interesting anyway............

 

[Sgt John]

WHOA!!!!!!


Triple Digit Receptions! TO only has one career year with 100 receptions.....

 

[WesDawg]

Instead of the T.O. effect on Evans, how about the Lake Effect (Snow) on T.O.? Evans is at least accustomed to what is one of the worst places to play when the clock strikes December. T.O. has drop issues to begin with.. how about when it's windy as hell and single-digit temps?
I can see them finishing within 4 spots of each other, with T.O. raking in the first half, and Evans finishing out stronger.

 

[Sgt John]

Instead of the T.O. effect on Evans, how about the Lake Effect (Snow) on T.O.? Evans is at least accustomed to what is one of the worst places to play when the clock strikes December. T.O. has drop issues to begin with.. how about when it's windy as hell and single-digit temps?
I can see them finishing within 4 spots of each other, with T.O. raking in the first half, and Evans finishing out stronger.

He did play in Philly............

 

[12gaugetimmy]

He did play in Philly............

Did he ever play in Philly in December?

He got hurt one year and suspended the other.

 

[WesDawg]

Geography.com - Home

Philly doesn't experience Lake Effect weather. LOL

 

[Sgt John]

Ass. LOL!

I figured cold is cold. If someone would like to educate me on the difference between soul crushing Philly cold and off yourself Buffalo cold let me know

 

[Doggface Gremlin]

Instead of the T.O. effect on Evans, how about the Lake Effect (Snow) on T.O.? Evans is at least accustomed to what is one of the worst places to play when the clock strikes December. T.O. has drop issues to begin with.. how about when it's windy as hell and single-digit temps?
I can see them finishing within 4 spots of each other, with T.O. raking in the first half, and Evans finishing out stronger.

TO is one of the toughest WRs in the NFL. I dont think he will have a problem with the weather. He will always have drops but at the sametime he makes up for it with big play after big play.

I do agree it will be something to watch for as the season progresses.

Ass. LOL!

I figured cold is cold. If someone would like to educate me on the difference between soul crushing Philly cold and off yourself Buffalo cold let me know

Is that why the AFL team is called the Philadelphia Soul because they play indoors so their soul is not affected by the cold?

 

[WesDawg]

The town I grew up in is about halfway between Pittsburgh and Erie, PA, and we dealt with the "Lake Effect" weather from about December thru early February. To keep it simple, since there's nothing on the Great Lakes to dissipate storms (foothills, mountains, etc), areas within a hundred miles or so to the East take the full brunt of everything that blows down from Canada, then the further away you are from there, the lesser the impact. Sorta like why the wind is so much worse in West Texas than it is once you get East of DFW.. not much resistance. Cleveland and Buffalo suffer from this, and to a lesser extent, Chicago. Greater Pittsburgh is right on the borderline of where it starts to drop off.

You asked, LOL.

 

[WesDawg]

TO is one of the toughest WRs in the NFL.

Considering a good percentage of his drops were a result of "Alligator Arms" while crossing the middle of the field, I may have to respectfully disagree.

 

[Doggface Gremlin]

Considering a good percentage of his drops were a result of "Alligator Arms" while crossing the middle of the field, I may have to respectfully disagree.

Yeah I mean more as a WR who has the strength and the talent to withstand the cold. I dont see TO as one of those WRs who wont be effective just because its cold outside. Hell Randy Moss went to New England after playing in Minnesota and Oakland and put up huge numbers in his first year in 2007.

Hes had problems catching all types of balls imo. I think its more of a lack of concentration. He still does go over the middle and can be effective. 99% of WRs at times have dropped balls going over the middle. I still think TO is effective in that area and isnt scared to go over the middle.